The link you posted is to a GJR-GARCH volatility prediction. You are about 4 semesters from being able to get GJR-GARCH prediction.
both. Volatility measures the riskiness of an asset.
So if a stock over a week (business week) earned 1%,2%,3%,4%, and 5%. The average return would be 3%. Volatility would then be measured as the square root of the average of the summed squared differences between each observation and the average return. The calculation would look like this:
(((.01-.03)^2 + (.02-.03)^2 + (.03-.03)^2 + (.04-.03)^2 + (.05-.03)^2)^(.5))/5
If the volatility is 35% that means the average it can vary from the average return is 35%.
What exactly does Volatility measure? And is this a right estimate for Yum! Brands, Inc.
http://vlab.stern.nyu.edu/analysis/VOL.YUM:US-R.GARCHg
Around 35%?
Does that mean this stock can return 35% of my money invested or potentially lose my 35%?