> Portfolio risk and return?

Portfolio risk and return?

Posted at: 2014-12-05 
Portfolio weights: 1 = wa+wb therefore wb=1-wa

σ2 = wa2σa2 + wb2σb2 + 2?wa?wb?σa?σb?ρ

substitute weight

σ2 = wa2σa2 + (1-wa)2σb2 + 2?wa?(1-wa)?σa?σb?ρ

add parameters:

σ=0.1

ρ=0.0

σa=0.1

σb=0.2

0.12 = wa2?0.12 + (1-wa)2?0.22 + 0

get two solutions:

wa = 0.6 : wb = 0.4 & wa = 1.0 & wb = 0.0

By eliminating unsuitable solution (bottom wing of curve because return lower there r=5%) we get portfolio weights wa = 0.6 and wb = 0.4

Return is:

rp = wa?ra + wb?rb

since individual assets returns are given:

ra = 0.05

rb = 0.10

rp = 0.05?wa + 0.1?wb = 0.05?0.6 + 0.1?0.4 = 0.07

Answer: Expected portfolio return is 7% (with risk = 10%, asset A weight = 0.6 and asset B weight = 0.4)

Best strategy depends on market conditions and trader' risk preferences.

Formal Modern Portfolio Theory would suggest (assuming risk free rate and returns are σf=0 & rf=0) best investment strategy as defined by SML line (tangent to efficient frontier):

Find equation for SML going through σf=0 & rf=0 , efficient frontier, derivative, etc. ending with SML E[r]= σ/√2

wich touches (tangent) efficient frontier ((3/50) + 0.02√(125σ2-1)) at point with r=1/15≈0.066(6) and σ=(√2)/15≈0.0942809

asset weights at this point will be:

r = 1/15 = wa?ra + wb?rb = 0.05wa + 0.1(1-wa)

wa=2/3 & wb=1/3 or in monetary terms: 6'666.6(6) should be invested in stock A and 3'333.3(3) in stock B

in more realistic case say risk "free" asset having rf=1% and σf=3%

solution (tangent point) to efficient frontier would be: r≈0.0652266 & σ≈0.0924465 with asset A weight wa≈0.695468 and asset B weight wb≈0.304532 or $6'954.68 should be invested in stock A and $3'045.32 in stock B

A market has just two stocks, A and B.

Stock A has an average return 5 % and risk 10%.

Stock B has an average return 10% and risk 20%.

The returns of the two stocks are independent.

A trader sets up a portfolio with a risk of 10% and the highest possible mean return.

Calculate the mean return of this portfolio and prove that this is the highest mean return you can get with a risk of 10%

If you have $ 10,000 to invest what is the best investment strategy.